• And Will Medicare Cover My X-Ray Eyes?

    In comments to my post on the absurdity of the infinite-horizon, TJon writes: Why don't Democrats use this to mock Republicans. Use the infinite model to calculate how much SS will cost between 4050 and 4100. Ask Republicans if they agree with that prediction. Ask them details about it. How many workers will there be per retiree? How much will a retiree get in 2005 dollars? Will that cover the toll lanes on the commute from Mars to Venus? Economists can't predict what is going to happen next year, much less 75 years from now. Its a joke and we need to start mocking it. Word.
  • Does Iraq Have Grassy Knolls?

    Jeanne d'Arc is right . This does raise a lot of questions.
  • Why Professors Tilt Left

    Over at the Agora , they're running through another round of "why-oh-why are all universities so lefty", this time with an assist from Howard Kurtz: "[c]ollege faculties, long assumed to be a liberal bastion, lean further to the left than even the most conspiratorial conservatives might have imagined." 72 percent of college faculty describe themselves as "liberal," with only 15 percent labeling themself "conservative." 50 percent identified themselves as Democrats and 11 percent as Republicans. Disparity at so-called "elite" schools, it seems, is even more pronounced. The report offers percentage views on specific issues as well. The study was conducted by professors at the University of Toronto based on a survey of 1,643 full-time faculty at 183 four-year schools. It was funded by the Randolph Foundation, a right-leaning group. So in places where intelligent, informed people work, many of them turn out to be liberal. At the places the most intelligent and informed people work, even...
  • Compulsory Inking

    While he's awarding Kim Du Toit the ribbon for "America's Worst Blogger", Robert Farley offers an offhand explanation of what a blogger should be: A decent blogger actually introduces new ideas; he does not simply confirm what you already believed but were too ashamed to verbalize. We should print it on a mousepad and send it off to, well, more than a few bloggers I can think of. LGF and The Idiotarian Rottweiler should have it forcibly tattooed on their foreheads.
  • The Hardship Myth

    Michael Schreiber writes : I am scared of New York and Chicago. Both are next to large bodies of water and quite a bit more sophisticated than California in a number of ways; but these two pulsating bodies tower over me like Olympian Gods. The names alone sound of cosmopolitan, excitement. sex-appeal and dynamic tones. Of course, I have never lived in these two places, nor for that matter have I lived anywhere else in the country. I am a California kid, too afraid to be bordered by anything other than the blue body of water crashing within ear shot of my house. To which I can only say "huh"? It's sad -- he's bought into the mythology of Chicago and New York too. So far as I can tell, from a fair number of visits and a large number of friends, the Chi-town/NY mystique is entirely an invention of hardship. Unable to compete with the massively enjoyable lifestyle offered by California, they've fallen back on some ephemeral claim to sophistication and worldliness (though, so far as I know...
  • End of the Investigation

    Looks like we should consign that little part of us awaiting answers on the intelligence failures that led us into Iraq to that same purgatory where we still expect a verdict in the Plame case. It didn't have to be that way. Liberals weren't happy when Kansas Senator Pat Roberts condemned the intelligence verdict on the Bush administration to "Phase II", which would only emerge after the election, but still, we understood. Were we Republicans, tasked with defending a President who'd obviously massaged inadequate intelligence into the shape he wanted, we'd want the report to come out post-election as well. But even I didn't think they'd just stonewall the thing. Even I didn't think they'd just bog down the investigation and let it fizzle out of its own accord. But that's exactly what Roberts has done. No administration officials have been interviewed, obstacles set up by the OSP (a bunch of neocons who seem responsible for much of the mess) have not been bypassed, and Roberts has...
  • We're Outta There (According to the Fulfillment of Certain Benchmarks)

    Matt's got an excellent post on troop withdrawal in Iraq. Read it.
  • Another Annoying Panel

    Over at Sean-Paul's place, I'm undersigned on a letter protesting The National Press Club's strange lineup for their upcoming "Blogger? Journalist?" event. Slated to discuss the issue are Wonkette, Congress Daily's John Stanton, and Jeff Gannon. Yeah, that Jeff Gannon. It's such a laughably silly slate that you can't be mad, just amused. Nevertheless, in an event that bills itself as having bloggers and journalists attending to discuss what they are, you'd think they could add in a representative blogger or two. Ana Marie-Cox is not, so far as I can tell, a blogger anymore. I mean, maybe she is, but whenever I click over to Wonkette, which I rarely do, it seems someone else is writing the site. BoiFromTroy, or, right now, Greg Beato, or "Joe Klein" -- but not Cox. One of the defining traits of bloggers is that they, well, blog, and Cox doesn't seem to do that. I don't blame her, all these panels eat up the workday, but it's time for her to turn in the blog decoder ring and become a...
  • Infinite Horizon

    Apropos of nothing save my annoyance, I did a little research on the "infinite-horizon" modeling today. "Infinite horizon" projections are where we get numbers like Social Security's supposed $11 trillion deficit. It's a way of forecasting costs off into the great beyond. It's also a load of crap. President Bush's tax cuts, if judged via an infinite horizon projection, would cost us $20 trillion, and his Medicare plan would be coming to your house to eat your children. But the infinite horizon is BS. While trawling around the internets to figure out exactly how it works, I found a good article explaining that, well, it doesn't. Because it's so inaccurate, it was never included until the 2003 Trustees Report, which apparently was when the Bush administration decided to add fangs and a pitchfork to the Social Security numbers. A technical panel advising them on the inclusion on the number said it's misleading as a dollar estimate and should instead be expressed as a...
  • Gonna Party Like It's 1994!

    Grassley's admission that privatization probably won't happen -- indeed, that no bill is likely to move forward -- drives that stake nice and deep into the privateers' heart. This is like Moynihan's reluctance to push Clinton's health care bill and his public disparagement of its chances, the combination of which did much to kill the plan. Go Grassley! Update : The reason this is such a big deal, which I forgot to mention, is that Grassley, as chair of the Finance Committee, is charged with writing the bill and bringing it to the floor. He's the guy . And the guy thinks there'll be no bill.