Are we on the edge of another savings and loan debacle? That one, in the
late 1980s, cost taxpayers an estimated 150 to 200 billion dollars. It
happened because too many of the nation's savings and loan banks,
knowing that their depositors were insured, took big risks with their
depositor's money -- investing in all sorts of schemes. And why not? The
upside gains were huge, the downside risks were borne by the government.
Now it's big airlines, along with big steel, and other big old
industries that have promised their employees pensions when they retire.
Many of these companies are in trouble because of new, low-cost
competitors -- the old airlines now facing the likes of Southwest and
JetBlue; old steel now facing high-tech mini-mills.
The government guarantees that pensions will be paid, just as it insured
savings and loan depositors they'd be paid. Companies are supposed to
save enough to fund their pension obligations. But they've been
investing the savings in stocks, hedge funds, junk bonds, and other
risky things. And why not? The upside gains could be large and the
downside risks are borne by -- yes -- the government.
Last month, United Airlines said it could no longer afford to contribute
to its pension plans, and now appears ready to shed its $13 billion
pension burden in order to emerge from bankruptcy. As United goes, so
will the other old carriers. After LTV Steel unloaded its pensions on
the government two years ago, seven other steel companies did the same
thing.
After the S & L mess, you might have expected Congress to demand that
companies set aside more money to meet their pension obligations, and
invest it more conservatively. But you'd be wrong. Last April, Congress
actually loosened the rules, enabling the most troubled industries to
use accounting gimmicks to make their pension funds look better than
they are. Hey, it's an election year.
The lesson: When government insures an industry against loss, it's only
a matter of time before those losses are shifted to the government.
Robert B. Reich is co-founder of The American Prospect.