Broadcast October 9, 2002
So how about spending 10 months of your life running for elective office and
then losing in a primary? That's what I did. Sound like fun? It's good to be
back.
A political campaign is like a free-floating focus group. You talk with
thousands and thousands of people who tell you what's on their minds in no
uncertain terms. And the biggest thing on peoples' minds isn't Iraq or even
terrorism. It's the economy.
National opinion polls bear this out: Most Americans are worried first and
foremost about holding on to their jobs and incomes.
Listen to business economists and we're in a recovery. Listen to ordinary
people and we're still in a recession that's getting worse. And the data bear
out this view from the street. The nation lost 43,000 jobs last month. Many
people who were looking for jobs last year have given up. Even before
September's job losses, the total number of jobs in America was declining
relative to the number of potential workers.
Meanwhile, take-home pay is going nowhere. And health-insurance costs are going
through the stratosphere -- this year, 27 percent more for a single person than
last year; 16 percent more for a family.
And of course you know what's happened to 401-Ks and mutual funds. Most of the
people I met on the campaign trail have little or no savings, but whatever they
now have is a fraction of what they had before.
Okay. You get the point. The interesting political question is why, less than
four weeks before Election Day, most politicians aren't talking about any of
this.
It's not just that terrorism and the pending war in Iraq are dominating the
headlines. I mean, if voters are more worried about the economy, it doesn't
matter what's on the front pages. I think the real reason politicians aren't
talking much about the economy is they don't have a solution that's even half-
way convincing.
The only thing Republicans say is they want to make the President's tax cut
permanent. Well, even if you believe in the dubious nostrums of supply-side
economics, a permanent extension of the tax cut beyond 2010 won't help today's
economy one bit.
Democrats blame the current economic mess on the President's tax cut and the
reemergence of federal budget deficits. But even if you accept the questionable
proposition that balanced budgets are always good, now is hardly the time for
fiscal austerity.
Look, the economy is flacid because there aren't nearly enough buyers to soak
up all the goods and services it's capable of producing. Low interest rates are
having almost no effect because they're just pushing this wet economic noodle.
The only real way to revive the economy is to get more money into the pockets
of average working people. After all, they'll spend it. And the fastest way to
get more money into their pockets is to cut their payroll taxes, and thereby
instantly fatten their paychecks.
So listen up, Democrat and Republican politicians: The way to jump-start the
economy is a payroll-tax cut. That's what you should be advocating.
You heard it here: Free advice on how to win your election from someone who
didn't even make it through the primaries.