You may not have heard much about it yet, but soon you'll be hearing a
lot about CAFTA, the Central American Free Trade Agreement. Like its
predecessor, NAFTA, the North American Free Trade Agreement, CAFTA would reduce tariffs on trade between America and its neighbors -- in this case, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Costa Rica. CAFTA is high on the agenda of the Bush administration, but already the
subject of a bitter fight between American labor and business.
Full disclosure. I was Secretary of Labor during the battle over NAFTA
ten years ago, and I still have the scars to show for it. Trying to sell NAFTA to a room full of unionized workers required a unique mixture of
courage and plain stupidity. In the end, organized labor didn't buy
NAFTA, and they don't seem to be buying CAFTA. Factory workers are
worried that even more of their jobs will head south of the border.
But the reality is that most factory jobs that have left America haven't
gone south. They've gone to China. Or they've been being automated --
turned into computer software and robots. I don't want to minimize the
pain U.S. manufacturing workers have endured for years now, but it's not
NAFTA's fault and it won't be because of CAFTA. Central American countries
can export most of their goods, duty-free, to the United States right now.
In fact, the real issue surrounding CAFTA isn't about manufacturing jobs
at all. It's about agriculture commodities like sugar and rice. U.S.
sugar producers don't want CAFTA. They want to keep their generous
government subsidies and tariffs that result in sugar prices here being
three times what they are on the world market. CAFTA would open the door
just a crack to much cheaper sugar imports from Latin America, and
America's sugar barons won't hear of it.
As to American rice growers -- yes, there are American rice growers --
they get more than a billion dollars a year in subsidies from Uncle Sam.
A billion dollars is more than Nicaragua's entire national budget. It's
even more than the total market value of all the rice that's produced in
the United States. Unless those subsidies are ended, CAFTA will flood
Latin America with U.S. rice so richly subsidized by U.S. taxpayers that
Latin America's own rice-growing farmers will be forced out of business.
So you see, the issue behind CAFTA is really the same one that derailed
the Doha round of global trade talks a while back: How to wean big
agribusinesses off tariffs and subsidies so poorer nations can sell
their food to the rich. To the extent CAFTA is a step in the right
direction, it's a good idea.
Robert B. Reich is co-founder of The American Prospect.