RSS Feeds Feeds: Articles | Issues
Articles About TAP Subscribe Donate
TAPPED  |  Beat the Press

Remember Me
Forgot your password?

The symbol identifies content for paid subscribers only.


 


Dean Baker's commentary on economic reporting

Is It News When the President Makes Untrue Statements (i.e. lies)?

We will know the answer to that one soon. President Bush said in his radio address today said that the oil in the offshore protected areas is equal to 10 years of current production.

No, that is not true. The Energy Information Agency, the government agency responsible for making estimates of oil reserves, calculates that there are approximately 8 billion of barrels of oil in the protected areas. Current production is approximately 3 billion barrels a year. That implies that the oil in the offshore protected areas is equal to less than 3 years of annual production, not ten years. That means that President Bush is off by a factor of more than three.

It actually is somewhat worse. U.S. production is only equal to 40 percent of consumption. Consumption is the more relevant factor in determining the importance of this oil. The oil in offshore protected areas is equal to only a bit more than a year of domestic consumption.

In other words, President Bush was completely misrepresenting the importance of oil in offshore protected areas. Why isn't this major news? Do the NYT, Washington Post, NPR, and Lehrer News Hour believe that President Bush lies so often that it can't be treated as news?

--Dean Baker



COMMENTS

Even if dopey is right, 10 years at 'the current rate of consumption' has little to do with the 'future rate of consumption'.

Despite the 'Prevasive Pollyannas of Prosperity' claims, we are going to run out of oil...no matter how much drilling we do.

We need alternative energy NOW!

He is lies? He must responsible on what he says.

George W. Bush has lied so often, so repeatedly, that it is almost reflexive. When has the mainstream media ever called him on his lies? Does anyone remember his classic fib--repeated by him many times--that we "had no choice but to go into Iraq" after Hussein was given the chance to allow the weapons inspectors back in...but he refused!

Of course, the inspectors worked on the ground in Iraq for months before our invasion, and were advised to get out for their own safety before they had finished their inspections as the invasion and bombing were about to begin.

This failure of the press to call Bush on his lies is standard operating procedure, and at this late date the shocking thing would be to see any real journalistic integrity or probing watch-doggery by the news poodles.

Is It News When the President Makes Untrue Statements (i.e. lies)?

No. This is an Atrios question.

these claims are only slightly less shocking than his claims in http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/06/20080618-4.html where he says it is enough for 'roughly 2 decades' of oil. at least he is going in the correct direction on the estimate.

i'm sorry for the misquote. that is not 2 decades for all the oil in proteced areas, he is saying 2 decades worth of oil in ANWR only. please see item 3 last sentence in the June 18, 2008 press release.

Who wants to bet that, on looking at the actual figures, he and his team realized the time it would take for this drilling to become viable was greater than the amount of oil there to be drilled and decided to just switch the numbers in public statements?

It would explain why they keep claiming the to-market time to be 1-4 years and the amount to be 10-20 years worth.

Where do you get 3 billion barrels/year? This EIA number

http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_crd_crpdn_adc_mbbl_a.htm

gives it as about 1.85 billion/year. That jives with the number I've become use to using: about 5 million/day.

He's still lying though. Just not by a factory of 3.

"use" = "used"
"factory" = "factor"

Sorry!

Q: Is It News When the President Makes Untrue Statements (i.e. lies)?

A: No it isn't. George Bush lies all the time. I worry that he might make a true statement, such as "water flows downhill", and we will reflexively set out to rebuild the Hoover Dam assuming that it somehow had been built backwards.

Ever since Bush said on several occasions we had to to invade Iraq because Saddam wouldn't let the inspectors in, I'm no longer surprised when he says something manifestly false and the mainstream press doesn't bat an eyebrow.

Post a comment


Renew your print subscription or e-subscription.
Get an e-subscription for $14.95.
Give the gift of political insight. Send The American Prospect to a friend.
Change your email address or street address.
YES! I want to receive The American Prospect
— the essential source for progressive ideas.
Explore The American Prospect's award-winning investigative journalism and provocative essays in a free trial issue. Continue receiving The American Prospect at only $19.95 for a one-year subscription - a savings of 60% off the newsstand price!
First Name
Last Name
Address 1
Address 2
City
State
ZIP     
Email

Should you decide not to continue receiving the magazine after the initial free issue, simply write "cancel" on the invoice and you will not be billed.

© 2009 by The American Prospect, Inc.  |  Privacy Policy  |  Permissions and Reprints