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Momma said wonk you out

WHAT HAPPENED WHEN THE FISCAL SUMMIT STOPPED BEING POLITE AND STARTED GETTING REAL?

The speeches at today's fiscal summit were followed by small breakout sessions on health care, taxes, budget, contracting and procurement, and Social Security that brought together key administration staff -- Orszag on health care, say, and Summers on Social Security -- to talk with congressmen and outside advocates. The pool reports just emerged and are fairly detailed. important reading for wonks. I've copied them beneath the fold. But here are the parts that caught my eye.

On health care:

Baucus said he wanted to get at least 60 votes in the Senate, but maybe as many as 70 votes on a health care reform bill.

Dodd said he wants a bill through the Senate by Memorial Day.

Two members – Sen. Alexander and Rep. Castle – urged the group to take a close look at the Wyden-Bennett health care bill.

Dodd, I should note, is acting as Kennedy's deputy here. He speaks for the HELP Committee.

Social Security:

Summers said that health care has “overwhelming importance” in achieving “longterm budget control.” He said: “But Social Security is also crucial to the nation’s longterm fiscal health, and Social Security is our most important government program.” He essentially said – and this is paraphrase here -- that the downturn of the financial markets had diminished the political appetite for converting part of SS to private retirement accounts. In light of “the events in the market the last couple years, the sense of the need for government to take a core public responsibility for Social Security. . .has been strengthened, at least in many people’s minds. Though not perhaps all minds.”

If you want to worry about the administration's intentions, I'd note this quote from Sperling:
Both Summers and Sperling said there would not be consensus in today’s session about how to fix the program. They also said the public was more receptive to the government making hard decisions necessary to keep SS from running out of money in the long run, because Americans are anxious about their private retirement savings and the value of their houses. Sperling said: “I think there may be a lot more openness than we thought in the past for people to have an honest discussion about the shared sacrifice necessary to have Social Security solvency. That this would be a sure thing they could count on, and they could count on for the next 50 to 75 years.”

Shared sacrifice can mean a lot of things. Many of them are not good.

The tax breakout began with...health care. Baucus took direct aim at the employer tax exemption:

Baucus led off. "Clearly, we all agree it's good we're doing this," he said, adding that "the only answer is a comprehensive solution, which means nothing 's off the table." He quickly dove into health care policy, saying the administration should look at the cost of excluding health care coverage from taxation, which he estimated at between $140 b and $200 b a year.

"One question is the degree to which we're willing to even look at health expenditures," Baucus said. "It's the biggest target. It should at least be looked at," he said, adding that he is not suggesting repeal but perhaps some limits.

More on the exemption in this post. Rest of the poll report -- which include not on ly the budget and procurement reports, but much more detail on taxes, health care, and Social Security -- below the fold.



COMMENTS

Very interesting. Memorial Day would be much earlier then I had expected. Perhaps they know something we don't know about what will happen at the Healthcare Summit next week. Is Obama going to unveil something close to a plan, ala what Clinton did on September 22nt? Beacuse otherwise I don't see how a bill passes so quickly.

Hi Ezra -- these excerpts are great, but I don't see the full reports anywhere. You've totally gotten my wonkish hopes up, so could you please post them? Thanks!

Baucus: "Baucus said he wanted to get at least 60 votes in the Senate, but maybe as many as 70 votes on a health care reform bill."

Translation: There will be NO meaningful reform of the practice of medicine which brings the medical cost trend in line with GDP growth.

I still think the smartest path is to get universal health care this year, use private payers for the bulk of it, and only minimally reform the system (primarily to improve administrative efficiency).

At the same time this is done, Obama and those who call themselves fiscal consevatives should be very clear that this is the first step. They should be clear that this is not a sustainable system, but is being done to solve a gross injustice and to help the nation in a time of need. And they should state flat out that in 2011 they will be coming back to do that entitlement reform that Orszag talks about, this time with the help of the Republicans rather than the opposition.

When are the rich assholes who profited from the catastrophic Bush years going to start making their "share" of the "sacrifice"? What bullshit. Just what I'd expect from an asshole like Summers.

thank you ezra for telling the full truth about the obama administration's position on social security.

Shared sacrifice. Yeah, right. I can imagine how that is going to work out for those of us paying FICA/SECA.

I vote for the Max Sawicky plan: instead of a tax cut in 2042 or 2049 (take your pick) the general fund just keeps making up the difference like it will have from 2017. Solve all the arguments by passing a simple law that says any future short fall in pay as you go will be made up from general revenue.

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About Ezra Klein

Ezra Klein is an associate editor at The American Prospect. An archive of his articles for The American Prospect can be found here.

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