THE MCCAIN CAMPAIGN RESPONDS TO MALIKI.
It's been interesting to watch the McCain camp's evolving line on Maliki's support for Barack Obama's withdrawal plan. This morning, they were in disarray. A prominent Republican and occasional McCain anonymously confided to Marc Ambinder:
"We're fucked."A few hours later, they were attacking Maliki's credibility and arguing that voters wouldn't care anyway:
"His domestic politics require him to be for us getting out," said a senior McCain campaign official, speaking on the condition of anonymity. "The military says 'conditions based' and Maliki said 'conditions based' yesterday in the joint statement with Bush. Regardless, voters care about [the] military, not about Iraqi leaders."By this evening, they'd figured out a real quote, and even put this one on the record. Randy Scheunemann, McCain's foreign policy adviser, said:
"The difference between John McCain and Barack Obama is that Barack Obama advocates an unconditional withdrawal that ignores the facts on the ground and the advice of our top military commanders. John McCain believes withdrawal must be based on conditions on the ground. Prime Minister Maliki has repeatedly affirmed the same view, and did so again today. Timing is not as important as whether we leave with victory and honor, which is of no apparent concern to Barack Obama. The fundamental truth remains that Senator McCain was right about the surge and Senator Obama was wrong. We would not be in the position to discuss a responsible withdrawal today if Senator Obama's views had prevailed."And we really wouldn't be in a position to discuss withdrawal today if Senator Obama's original views had prevailed and we hadn't invaded Iraq. Meanwhile, the crucial determinant of withdrawal is "victory and honor?" Seriously? Our strategy in Iraq should be based on how good it makes us feel?
Yikes. Meanwhile, the McCain campaign is going to have some trouble worming away from this 2004 Council on Foreign Relations transcript. In it, McCain is asked, “What would or should we do if, in the post-June 30th period, a so-called sovereign Iraqi government asks us to leave, even if we are unhappy about the security situation there?" He answered:
Well, if that scenario evolves than I think it’s obvious that we would have to leave because — if it was an elected government of Iraq, and we’ve been asked to leave other places in the world. If it were an extremist government then I think we would have other challenges, but I don’t see how we could stay when our whole emphasis and policy has been based on turning the Iraqi government over to the Iraqi people.”Of course, Brookings only started measuring "victory and honor" in late-2005 or so...
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COMMENTS (11)
I have seen fuck all about this from the MSM so far. It could end up not being nearly as big a deal as it should be, like almost everything else that goes wrong for McCain. It'll be up to Obama to start hitting him early and hard on this.
Posted by: fumphis | July 20, 2008 1:22 AM
"And we really wouldn't be in a position to discuss withdrawal today if Senator Obama's original views had prevailed and we hadn't invaded Iraq."
Well we don´t know in what position we would find ourselves and what we would be discussing had we not invaded Iraq.
And of course we would not have been in a position to invade Iraq if we had overthrown that regime in 1991.
The fact remains: Obama was wrong on the surge. Who was wrong at first place is a different kind of question because than you can go more and more back in history.
Posted by: Mark P. Haverkamp | July 20, 2008 8:45 AM
McCain is going to have trouble worming away from his earlier statement? Really? Have his friends in the media ever given him trouble for any of his numerous previous flip-flops? What makes you think they'll start now?
Posted by: KCinDC | July 20, 2008 10:04 AM
The fact remains: Obama was wrong on the surge. Who was wrong at first place is a different kind of question because than you can go more and more back in history.
How is it a different kind of question? If you're going to argue that we don't know what would have happened if we hadn't invaded Iraq in the first place, it seems silly to claim that we can be any more certain about what would have happened if Obama's views had prevailed in 2006. Neither happened. The fact that the surge, and more importantly the new tactics that were implemented with it, have been successful says nothing about the consequences of withdrawing when Obama wanted to withdraw. It's pure speculation.
If one doctor wants to treat cancer with chemotherapy and the other wants to use radiation, and chemo works, it doesn't mean the guy who wanted to use radiation was wrong.
Posted by: AlanSP | July 20, 2008 10:48 AM
Alan, let's not forget the game being played with the name "the surge":
Posted by: KCinDC | July 20, 2008 12:07 PM
Posted by: chris | July 20, 2008 2:12 PM
It sounds to me like you all are underestimating the political strength of "the surge worked, and Obama was wrong on the surge."
I'm not saying it's over, and I'm not saying its good policy, but it's a pretty good political sell.
Everything BushCo does is politically motivated. So I speculate that they decided "50, 100 years in Iraq" was a political loser, and are now seeking to neutralize Obama's advantage here. So, that seems to imply that they like the domestic policy terrain better. That would scare me if I were a Republican.
Posted by: Doctor Jay | July 20, 2008 3:46 PM
"What fact? Successful at what? The surge has been *proclaimed* successful by our corporate media elites, but without demanding any actual successes before declaring successfulness."
Successful at decreasing the level of violence in Iraq, which has indisputably gone down. You can argue about whether it's just a temporary fix, or how much of the decrease in violence is due to various other factors, or what the original rationale was, but at the end of the day, a decrease in violence has to be considered a good thing, and there has undeniably been progress on that count. It's not just "corporate media elites" who regard decreased violence as a sign of at least some success.
Posted by: AlanSP | July 20, 2008 4:26 PM
The fact is that the Surge failed at what it was intended to do: to create the necessary breathing room for political reconciliation to occur.
The fact that it has had positive effects doesn't obviate the fact that it's a complete fucking failure at what it was intended to do, or that the leader of the country (not to mention the vast majority of the citizens of the country) keep saying, "Thank you, now leave."
Posted by: Stu | July 20, 2008 6:07 PM
As for the "victory and honor" comment, I HOPE Obama isn't as worried about "victory and honor" as McCain claims to be, since no matter what we do in Iraq, I don't think we'll be able to leave and legitimately declare "victory" anytime soon. Also, I don't think we'll ever be able to consider our little Iraqi adventure "honorable." There's been so much mismanagement, impunity, and general disdain for the Iraqi people that the only option for an honorable action would be to get our troops and more notably, our mercenaries, out and stop insulting Iraqis with our occupation.
I suppose that leaving with "honor" would involve providing security while we're going, rather than picking up and leaving a complete mess instead of a moderate mess, but I still don't think that "honor" is an appropriate word for the situation.
Posted by: Z | July 22, 2008 4:41 PM
I have to stress this again, just because I'm in disbelief. The fact that anyone would suggest that we should be able to declare victory before leaving Iraq is ludicrous. I think that at this point, it's about time to accept that it hasn't quite gone well on the whole, and it would be better to leave in a reasonable amount of time rather than to deceive ourselves into thinking that "victory" is at hand if we just wait another year.
Wait...this sounds familiar...I feel like I've heard this before, 40 years ago. Oh well, just deja vu I guess.
Posted by: Z | July 22, 2008 4:48 PM