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THE TURNOUT PERSPECTIVE ON INDIANA AND NORTH CAROLINA.
By all accounts, turnout was very high in both Indiana and North Carolina last night. In fact, looking at the numbers, something quite amazing emerges. According to the New York Times, 1,254,136 people voted for either Hillary Clinton or Barack Obama in Indiana last night. On election day 2004, John Kerry -- who lost Indiana to George Bush -- only earned 969,011
votes. That means the primary turnout in Indiana exceeded the general election turnout four years ago. That's remarkable. Similarly in North Carolina, Clinton and Obama earned a total of 1,548,615 votes last night while Kerry only received 1,525,849 in 2004 (he lost the state to Bush as well). Based on these figures, it might be worth going back to see if there are other examples of the primary vote exceeding the 2004 vote this season.
--Mori Dinauer
COMMENTS (6)
It is impressive, but how does it account with population growth? What are the percentages of registered voters who turned out?
Posted by: exlitigator | May 7, 2008 10:20 AM
It is impressive, but how does it account with population growth? What are the percentages of registered voters who turned out?
Posted by: exlitigator | May 7, 2008 10:23 AM
Texas
Kerry= 2,825,723
2008 Primary= 2,868,454
Posted by: John | May 7, 2008 10:33 AM
Population growth in Indiana was nominal and doesn't come close to accounting for that difference.
NC has grown quickly, but the more important factor (which makes Indiana look less impressive) is that it had competitive statewide races on the Republican side which kept down the "why not?" crossovers.
Posted by: Brittain33 | May 7, 2008 10:48 AM
The numbers may be important, but it's worth emphasizing that these are open primaries, rather than closed primaries. Such numbers would have been more significant in a closed primary state like Pennsylvania.
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