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The group blog of The American Prospect

THE PALIN GAMBLE.

Tim Fernholz on why McCain's pick of Palin is a gamble:

John McCain's selection of Sarah Palin is a gimmick, a desperation pick. It's a last-ditch attempt for McCain to be a maverick again and recapture his reformist credentials. Despite her image, Palin has ethics problems of her own, and she and McCain share George W. Bush's conservative politics. Worst of all, though, her lack of experience raises serious concerns about her basic fitness for office, and McCain's willingness to put his campaign before the good of the country.

Palin does bring a few advantages to McCain's campaign. She reinforces McCain's standing with his conservative base. She is a member of the Christian right who is strongly anti-choice and a favorite of opinion-makers like Rush Limbaugh. Like most Alaskan politicians, her commitment to drilling for oil jibes nicely with McCain's "drill now, drill here" mentality; she even goes a step further than McCain to advocate drilling in Alaskan National Wildlife Refuge. And there's the electoral bonus: Palin's popularity in Alaska could move the state, which was slipping towards Obama, back into the GOP column.

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COMMENTS

Whatever will Obama/Biden do without those 3 electoral votes?

It's simple really.

For real change, the economy, the war(s), and women's rights - Obama is clearly the choice over McCain.

For real change, the economy, the war(s), and women's rights - Biden is clearly the choice over Palin.

The gamble is that you can't insult Americans' intelligence too much.

I fear that may be correct.

A fascist geezer lets his decrepit gonads get out of control and chooses a fascist bimbo. Sheesh, it looks like a Woody Allen thing.

Pairing former prisoner of war John McCain with this young woman will make him look even older than he is. Optics, you know.

John McCain is still being forced to run a primary campaign 6 months after effectively winning his party's nomination.

And they call Democrats divided?

Palin is as inexperienced and unworthy of high office as Nobama but at least she's got that cheerleader thing going that the pervs just eat up.

Obama has about 142 days + or - in the senate...and you believe he is ready to lead this country??? We should compare Obama's resume with Palin's...she would likely make a better president than Obama

Obama has about 142 days + or - in the senate...and you believe he is ready to lead this country??? We should compare Obama's resume with Palin's...she would likely make a better president than Obama

Sounds right. I agree that Palin would likely be a better president than Obama

Yeah... a woman who abuses her office by having her sistersd ex-husband fired from his job so her custody case will be stronger is REALLY qualified for the Presidency.

She's the perfect office wife for McCain: his Gal Friday. And he does like trophy wives. Democrats have to respond and undermine her. If I were Hillary I'd make the following speech:

"My fellow Americans, in spite of what my detractors claimed, I did not "run as a woman": I ran on my experience, my knowledge of foreign and domestic policy, and my ability to do the job. And I wasn't looking for women to support me because I was a woman: the women and men who voted for me supported me because they believed that I was the best person for the job.

"Ladies, McCain thinks we women are fools. He thinks we're so dumb and so ignorant of policy issues and our own self-interest that all he's got to do to get our votes is to put a woman on the ticket. And he's still caught up in the old politics--not the post-racial politics of 2008 when men and women, black and white, nominated Barak Obama, but the politics of 1958 when there were voting blocks and politicians competed for the Catholic Vote, the Jewish Vote, Irish Vote and the Italian Vote. And the only reason they didn't compete for the Black Vote was because back then African-Americans in much of this country couldn't vote.

"In 2008 there's just one vote, the American vote, and that vote goes to Barak Obama!"

Say, could someone remind me what Obama said on TV last night? I watched it and all, but I just can't remember anything the guy said. I can't find any stories in the media about that talk he gave either. I guess folks have moved on. That was Thursday and this is Friday going on Saturday. Maybe the Omeister can do another big talk or something.

Say, could someone remind me what Obama said on TV last night? I watched it and all, but I just can't remember anything the guy said. I can't find any stories about him in the media either because everyone's talking up this GOP Veep. I guess folks have moved on. The Omeister was Thursday and this is Friday going on Saturday. Maybe he can do another big talk or something, maybe start dating a celeb. That usually works.

McCain did manage to step on the buzz from Obama's stirring closing ceremony speech. Palin-Biden seems a clear mismatch but perhaps not since she is such a charmer

Since Palin was a successful point guard, maybe she and Obama should go one-on-one.

homer www.altara.blogspot.com

"...McCain's willingness to put his campaign before the good of the country."

The man who's repeatedly said "country first" would put the country in the hands of a 44-year old "hockey mom".

Obama's first decision was Biden; McCain's was Palin.

McCain: as cynical as it gets.

""My fellow Americans, in spite of what my detractors claimed, I did not "run as a woman": I ran on my experience, my knowledge of foreign and domestic policy, and my ability to do the job."

This line was present in HRC's bid, and I think it's what she *wisely* wanted to emphasize. However, that wise line of argumentation was always *significantly* undermined by the clamoring of her ostensibly feminist supporters that it was this huge *plus* to have "a woman's perspective" and "a different (female) voice" in government, and in the Presidency specifically.

I agree that she's likely not qualified at this moment in time--especially in foreign policy-- and that putting her on the ticket is sort of cynical.

But it's not like the private parts argument wasn't made for Hillary by the women who largely agreed with her opinions. On that particular measure, this merely seems a little tit for tat, to me-- not all women think exactly like Hillary.

Hell, not all women who vote Democrat think exactly like Hillary. Personally, I thought HRC's supporters should have left the gender bullshit alone.

100% irrelevant.

So she's more capable of running the Country than Mitt Romney or many of the other qualified republicans to be your VP? McCain, you've lost my respect, and my vote and let the true republican party down with this gimmick.

Wow, everywhere I go, this pick has got you all SPOOKED (as well it should have).

Anonymous, you weren't going to vote for a far better man than Chicago-machine man (ie - Sen. Obama) and Senator Plagiarist (among so many, many, other, dishonorable facts I could bring up, over a long, long time in the US Senate), anyway. Stop pretending.

Let's have a real debate!

Let's match up her Reformist Pro-Life credentials against........well, Joe Biden's FORMER Pro-Life position (which, all Democratic candidates - Durbin, Gephardt, Daschle, even Ted Kennedy, initially, MUST jettison if they want to make national office in your party).

Let's, INDEED, look at who was for the Surge long before it happened (and, was successful; I know; I'm writing this from Iraq) and someone who......publicly stated more than once that it wasn't working....when it clearly was.

Yes, let's look at someone who's been pro-life all of their public life vs. an Illinois State Senator who voted AGAINST the identical Born-Alive Infants Protection Act that even Barbara Boxer and HRC herself voted FOR, at the national level.

Yes, indeed. Yes, indeed. Let's HAVE that debate about the "Change We Can Believe In" without Olbermann and Matthews dissing each other (on-air, no less) and KO dissing anyone who even REMOTELY criticizes BO (Charles Babington, no conservative he, of the Washington Post, for example).

So, let me end by issuing this challenge with three words we know that you all can't stand:

BRING*IT*ON!

How does picking a down the line radical conservative small state governor with no foreign policy experience help McCain be a maverick? Being a maverick would have meant picking a vp who is pro-choice, who doesn't think cutting taxes on the rich is the best economic policy ever, or who thinks Iraq was a mistake and supports a timeline. Sarah Palin is the farthest thing from a maverick. She is like the spitting image of the median conservative Republican.

GOP deadenders are really desperate with the taunts. Obama and Biden will trounce McLame and the cocktail waitress.

Oh, yeh, a round of you best champagne for our victory celebration, honey!

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