RSS Feeds Feeds: Articles | Issues
Articles About TAP Subscribe Donate
TAPPED  |  Beat the Press

Remember Me
Forgot your password?

The symbol identifies content for paid subscribers only.


 



The group blog of The American Prospect

Lessons from Argentina.

In the wake of the highest unemployment rate in 25 years, The Roosevelt Institute asked historians, economists and other public thinkers to reflect on the lessons of the New Deal and explore new, big ideas for how to get America back to work. TAPPED will be cross-posting the 10-part series with the New Deal 2.0 blog over the course of the next two weeks. In this installment, Pavlina Tcherneva describes how a much poorer country than ours — Argentina — used direct job creation to pull the country out of recession.

What has now become the standard government response to a recession – pump priming – is a gamble and it is time to abandon it as a tool for economic recovery and job growth. It takes too long to produce results and one never knows how much demand the government must pour down a leaky economy to turn it around. It is a risky strategy, which is why President Obama reminded us again on a few days ago that unemployment is a lagging indicator. Yet, there are no good reasons for putting up with high unemployment when we have an effective solution at hand. This is why I add my support to the growing list of those calling for direct job-creation programs.

While policy-makers cling to the astounding belief that the government can neither create jobs, nor find enough useful things for the unemployed to do, a much poorer country with presumably fewer resources and less effective government was able to do it just a few years ago. The country is Argentina, which did not settle for a jobless recovery when its economy plunged in its worst post-War recession; instead, it immediately launched a public employment program, known as the Jefes Plan, to deal with the crisis.

Just like the New Deal in the 30s, the Jefes plan was up and running in only a few months. In January 2002, the jobs program was signed into law as an emergency measure and five months later it began putting 500,000 people to work. Twelve months after that, it had employed 2 million people, or 13% of the labor force. The program offered a part-time, minimum wage public sector job to any unemployed head of household willing to work in a community project. The price tag of the Jefes plan was less than 1 percent of GDP.

More after the jump.

--Pavlina Tcherneva

Pavlina R. Tcherneva is an assistant professor of Economics at Franklin and Marshall College and a research scholar at the Levy Economics Institute and the Center for Full Employment and Price Stability.

Unemployment did not wait for the economy to recover to start falling. Instead, even before GDP posted its first positive growth numbers, the unemployment rate had already fallen by 25 percent -- from its peak of 24 percent in mid-2002 to 18 percent a year later. It continued falling precipitously as the economy recovered to move into single-digit territory three years after that. This is a dramatic and expedient reduction in the jobless numbers, given their extraordinary levels – a decline only possible with direct job creation. And the Jefes Plan, by most measures, created much needed and useful work.

In a matter of months, Argentina had organized projects at the federal, state, and local levels. These included large-scale infrastructure investments and massive recycling initiatives, water irrigation and soil renewal projects, healthcare and daycare centers, food kitchens and homeless shelters, public libraries and recreational programs, subsistence farming and elderly care programs, family violence attention centers and many others. Public sector jobs provided employment, income, on-the-job training, and education to participants. Projects transformed communities and had a positive impact on women and children. Parents who took the Jefes jobs enrolled their kids in school and took them for routine health checkups and vaccinations, as per program requirements. Women turned up for work in large numbers as heads of households and produced useful output, participated in community rebuilding, and took leadership roles in the organization of these projects. Jefes spurred private-sector job creation as well (estimates place the multiplier effect of the program at 2.57), and many workers transitioned from their public Jefes jobs to better-paid private sector employment.

While in the U.S. Congress keeps extending unemployment benefits (the Argentine government chose to put the unemployed to work. When our politicians forecast a jobless recovery ahead, policy makers south of the equator speak of reaching full employment by creating and safeguarding jobs by private and public means.
It is no coincidence that macroeconomic stabilization programs that contain an explicit direct job creation package produce robust job creation and economic growth more quickly and vigorously than the unreliable and inefficient pump-priming approach.

If the U.S. government creates a permanent, voluntary public employment program that offers a living-wage job to anyone ready, willing, and able to work in a public service project, unemployment will be addressed directly as it develops during recessions. And this very same program will serve to turn the economy around. Such a program will fluctuate counter-cyclically with the business cycle, and unemployment will no longer be a lagging indicator. As the economy recovers, public service workers can move back into private-sector jobs.
If Argentina was able to find productive work for its unemployed, surely the U.S. could do it too. It is time to abandon the wasteful pump-priming model along with defeatist attitudes about government job creation. It’s time for a Rooseveltian resolve.



COMMENTS

Support of the Lou Zhu, Lou Zhu worked hard
Signature--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nothing is impossible for a willing heart.
ugg bailey button

Thanks for sharing the useful information with me.
marked.

Nothing is too difficult.

Post a comment


Search TAPPED for:

Archives

About TAPPED

TAPPED, the Prospect's award-winning group blog, is a link-intensive collection of musings, ramblings, opinions and other assorted writing on the political developments of the day. See a list of our contributors.

| RSS | Twitter


Renew your print subscription or e-subscription.
Get an e-subscription for $14.95.
Give the gift of political insight. Send The American Prospect to a friend.
Change your email address or street address.
YES! I want to receive The American Prospect
— the essential source for progressive ideas.
Explore The American Prospect's award-winning investigative journalism and provocative essays in a free trial issue. Continue receiving The American Prospect at only $19.95 for a one-year subscription - a savings of 60% off the newsstand price!
First Name
Last Name
Address 1
Address 2
City
State
ZIP     
Email

Should you decide not to continue receiving the magazine after the initial free issue, simply write "cancel" on the invoice and you will not be billed.

© 2010 by The American Prospect, Inc.  |  Privacy Policy  |  Permissions and Reprints